黄荣哲;农丽娜;

• 1:广西财经学院金融系
• 2:中国人民银行南宁中心支行

摘要(Abstract)：

次贷危机之后,动态调整的逆周期监管政策似乎可以成为缓解信贷顺周期的重要措施之一。然而,逆周期监管的本质是"相机抉择"。它始终无法回避一个关键性的问题,即监管者能否准确预测未来经济周期的特征以及监管政策效果的时滞,并据此判断动态调整的方向与幅度。所以,监管部门首先需要解决的问题是增强宏观经济预测能力,其次才是如何实施逆周期的动态监管政策。

关键词(KeyWords)： 顺周期性;资本充足率;相机抉择;货币学派

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 中国人民银行南宁中心支行2010年度重点研究课题“金融风险顺周期效应的实证研究”

作者(Author): 黄荣哲;农丽娜;

Email:

DOI: 10.16537/j.cnki.jynufe.2011.04.022

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